The Cincinnati Reds will be fighting to snap a losing streak on Saturday when they take on the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park.
Right hander Homer Bailey will take the mound for the Reds to start this game. Bailey is 0-0 this season with a 0.00 ERA.
The Nationals will counter Bailey with Joe Ross. Right hander Ross has a 5.98 ERA to go along with a 3-3 record this season.
Bailey is coming off his third elbow surgery since Aug. 2014, the latest being a procedure to clean out bone chips in February. The 31-year-old Texan, who signed a six-year, $105 million contract just before the series of injuries began in 2014, breezed through three rehab starts with a 3-0 record, 1.08 ERA and 17 strikeouts in 16 2/3 total innings. Bailey struggled in six major-league outings last season, yielding a total of 35 hits in 23 innings.
Ross is struggling to find consistency this season and showed off the good and the bad over his last three outings. The 24-year-old struck out 12 and allowed one run across 7 2/3 innings against Baltimore on June 8 but yielded nine runs – seven earned – and 18 hits in a combined 11 2/3 innings over his last two starts. Ross is making his second career start against the Reds and escaped without a decision on July 2, 2016, despite allowing four runs and 10 hits in 5 1/3 frames.
Oddsmakers currently have the Nationals listed as 147-moneyline favorites versus the Reds, while the game’s total is sitting at 9½.
Things haven’t been going well for the Cincinnati Reds in the pitching department this season, but there is some reason for optimism. The Reds will welcome back veteran right-hander Homer Bailey on Saturday when they visit the Washington Nationals for the second of a three-game series.
Cincinnati boasts one of the most fearsome lineups in the league with Scott Schebler joining Joey Votto in the 20-homer club and Adam Duvall, Eugenio Suarez and Zack Cozart all hitting well, but the team entered the weekend with the worst rotation ERA in baseball at 6.12. Top prospect Luis Castillo pitched well in his major-league debut on Friday – two runs allowed in five innings – but the bullpen let the team down before closer Raisel Iglesias allowed Bryce Harper’s game-winning hit in the 10th. The Nationals are usually the team with the suspect bullpen, but four relievers combined to allow one hit in five scoreless innings in Friday’s triumph. Washington will try to get more out of starter Joe Ross on Saturday while Bailey tries to give the Cincinnati bullpen a break.
Washington was a 6-5 winner in its last match on the road against the Reds. They won as -240 favorites, while the total score of 11 made winners of OVER bettors.
Last time out for Cincinnati, they were a 6-5 loser as they battled the Nationals on the road. Moneyline bettors who got the Nationals at -240 were rewarded, while the 11 combined runs moved the game OVER for totals bettors.
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Team record: 30-42 SU
Current Streak: lost 3 straight games.
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games
Team record: 44-29 SU
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington’s last 11 games
Washington is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Cincinnati at Washington Sunday, June 25
MLB BASEBALL SPORTS BETTING TIPS
1. Reds INF/OF Scooter Gennett hit his 10th homer on Friday, giving Cincinnati five players with double-digit homers.
2. Washington CF Michael Taylor (undisclosed injury) is day-to-day.
3. Cincinnati CF Billy Hamilton is 0-for-18 over the last four games.
Vegas Coverage pick and prediction:
SMART CHART CIN TEAM WSH 4.92 RUNS 5.53 5.35 RUNS AGNST 4.48 -0.43 DIFF 1.05 -$762 MONEY $181 5.08 TEAM ERA 4.16 9.03 OFF HITS 9.68 3.14 OFF WALKS 3.47 8.14 OFF Ks 7.75 8.86 DEF HITS 8.44 3.92 DEF WALKS 2.95 7.65 DEF Ks 9.01
INJURIES CINCINNATI REDS PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION Caleb Cotham P 15-Day Disabled List Devin Mesoraco C 15-Day Disabled List A.J Morris P 15-Day Disabled List Yorman Rodriguez OF 15-Day Disabled List WASHINGTON NATIONALS PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION Aaron Barrett P 60-Day Disabled List Joe Ross P 15-Day Disabled List Stephen Drew 2B 15-Day Disabled List Sammy Solis P 15-Day Disabled List Stephen Strasburg P 15-Day Disabled List
BETTING TRENDS CINCINNATI REDS Cincinnati is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games on the road Cincinnati is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games on the road Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati’s last 7 games when playing Washington The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington WASHINGTON NATIONALS The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington’s last 11 games The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games at home Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington’s last 7 games when playing Cincinnati Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
SUPERGRID RANK RANK Cincinnati’s Overall Scoring vs Washington’s Overall Defense 4.9 5 4.5 4 Cincinnati’s Away Scoring vs Washington’s Home Defense 4.3 11 4.3 5 Cincinnati’s Road ERA vs Washington’s Home ERA Allowed 5.6 13 5.2 4 Washington’s Overall Scoring vs Cincinnati’s Overall Defense 5.5 1 5.4 14 Washington’s Home Scoring vs Cincinnati’s Road Defense 5.4 5 5.7 13 Washington’s Home ERA vs Cincinnati’s Road ERA Allowed 3.9 5 4.1 9
TOP 3/BOTTOM 3 REDS Reds are the third highest scoring team in the league at 4.3 runs per game. Reds lead the league in walks with 3.6 per game. Reds have the best hits allowed in the league, allowing 8.0 per game. Reds are the third best in base on balls allowed, allowing 2.7 per game. Reds lead the league in K’s with 8.0 per game. NATIONALS Nationals give up the fewest free passes in the league allowing 2.5 per game.